When to Stop Betting a Hot Basketball Team
By Michael Williams (2/19/2007)
We have all heard the expression, "I am going to back this team until they lose." That is the wrong mentality when betting on sports. You do not continue to bet on a team. Teams rarely ever win more than 4 in a row ATS. This is because they get increased betting handle when gamblers see that they are performing well. The extra betting handle skews the odds against our winning team. So it actually decreases their likelihood to cover the next game based on power ratings.
You must stop betting on basketball teams when you see a change in their routine. Are they traveling on the road or home? Are they playing on 0 days rest? Is there a new player on the team? Anything that can change the chemistry and momentum of a team is worthy enough to force you to stop betting on a hot basketball team.
In short, never continue to bet on a basketball team. Just because they have been winning a bunch of games ATS does not mean you continue to bet on them.
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