Taste the Gramd Salami During Interleague Season
By Michael Williams (7/26/2006)
Sportsbooks offer a betting option called the Grand Salami which
allows you to bet on the overall total of all games being played. This put
statistical gamblers like us at an advantage because we can ride out the bumps
of any individual game.
If we were to know that all or most of the 15 games were statistically geared
towards either the over/under then we know we can have a very solid bet. In fact,
overs for grand salamis are usually recommended by us/anybody because how many
times have you seen a team demolish the total by scoring 12 runs themselves? But
Vegas factors that uncertainty into the grand salami already.
Grand salami unders are a good value during interleague play. The average number
of runs scored league wide (sans interleague games) has been 9.64 runs dating
back to 1999. Interleague games in which the AL team is at home has yielded an
average score of 9.78 runs per game, while AL intraleague games have had an
average of almost 10.0 runs per game. This is a total of 0.22 runs per game
difference which factored over all 15 games is 3.3 runs. Since Vegas already
factors in the bloated score issue mentioned earlier, they pad the over/under
with an additional 3-4 runs. So you are looking at about 6-7 runs of value by
betting the under.
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