How to Pick a Road Basketball Winner
By Michael Williams (2/19/2007)
The biggest disparity between the play of a home team and a road team is most apparent in basketball. Therefore many novice sports gamblers find it easy to gamble on a motivated home team in basketball. But that also means they struggle to find a road team to bet on.
Road teams in basketball are actually easier to pick out than you might think. Because of the home court advantage, home teams have huge chalk they give up every game. Whereas a road team would just have to keep the game close in order to win against the spread.
Of course you want to select a road team that has a likelihood of winning the game but when you are double digit underdog, seeing your team lose by 6 is easy pickings. But isn't it easier to find a road team that has a chance to win the game outright that determining whether your explosive home team will win by 9 points or not?
But what are the road teams you want to look for? The following scenarios all help a road team keep a game close or get the squeaker upset.
Double digit underdog with double or triple revenge on the season. Their opponent will likely take this game off and focus on their next opponent. Our team will keep it close.
A medium sized underdog with an opponent that is either on 0 days rest or may be looking ahead to their very next game.
|