How to Pick a Home Football Winner
By Michael Williams (2/19/2007)
The best teams to bet on at home are the underdogs in division rivalry games. Specifically betting on teams that are playing in their second matchup of the season in which they had a loss in their previous matchup.
By being the second game between two squads, the loser of the first one will have key points on what to improve on in their rematch. They will also feed off of their home fans to win the game. They will also be disrespected and overlooked by the betting public.
Home favorites of non-conference games are also worth betting on because the road team in a non-conference game can tend to be unmotivated, uninterested, bored with the matchup. Specifically true when this road team is not a contender.
For example, imagine you are the Oakland Raiders and you are playing on the road against a contender. But you have a divisional rival coming up in your next game. Would you play your hearts out on the road when you will probably lose anyways or save energy for your next game? Well, these Raiders were in this situation Mon 11/6 and lost in embarrasing fashion 16-0.
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