Betting Systems - Betting on Averages

As stated in another article, sports betting is a marathon, not a sprint. As this article will show, by betting on averages, one will be able to get an edge in sports gambling and will be able to make a decent profit in the long run.

One of the betting on averages angle is betting the opposite of what has transpired in the first half of a game if such a half is unusual. For example in an NBA game (National Basketball Association), if the first half showcased unusual high shooting percentage, one would expect shooting to go down in the second half (first half probably sailed over the total, while the handicapper would expect the second half to glide under the posted total). Another angle to use in the second halves of the NBA is to go against teams who shoot greater than 65%. Such teams cannot sustain such a high shooting percentage, and therefore will not do as well in the second half. It is all about averages. NBA teams shoot at an average clip of 40%. Any deviation from this will correct itself in the second half, so the bettor should bet accordingly.

In the National Football League (NFL), the same situation also applies. If a team is getting blown out in the first half, such a team usually bounces back and wins the second half of the game. The winning team usually calls off the dogs, while the team that is trailing will do its best to keep the game interesting. Officiating also changes and will tend to favor the team that is down, for this is still a form of entertainment—the referees do not want a blow-out for this will not generate as much interest as a hotly contested match up.

In summary, betting the opposite of what happened in the first half gives value to the sports bettor—unless extenuating circumstances abound.