Betting Systems - Betting Against the Hype in Season Total

An addition of a big bat? A prime time hurler added to the starting rotation? Expected blossoming of young talent? All signs point to a great season for Baseball Team X so we say to bet against them in the total wins.

Season totals have more to do with public perception than realistic probability of winning. For example, the Yankees are always believed to be able to win 100+ games every year. Even though that is highly unlikely with their battered rotation and aging lineup. So we always try to take the under with respect to the Yankees. Then there's the Cubs. Who are believed to have a shot at the World Series every year and do nothing but disappoint. They have had a deep starting rotation and Sammy Sosa in year's back. Yep, but we bet the under with them as well and won easy dough. So just because your team picked up Randy Johnson or got the big bat in the lineup that they desparately need. Or that their rookie ace pitcher is now in his second year. You bet the under on them. Even people believe young teams can build on successes from prior years. It Almost never happens. Young teams will mire in slumps. Look how the Indians did in 2006 versus 2005. They looked like a cinderella team of 2005. Everybody believed them to improve on their chemistry of 2005 and come back contending for a ring in 2006.