Baseball - Back Home After a Long Road Trip in Base

Road trips in basketball can be quite gruesome but the first home game back usually is the toughest to win. Players are away from their families, they are jet-lagged, their attention-to-detail may not be there. And if they find themselves against a very motivated opponent, watch out.

Now this issue has rarely been addressed as far as baseball is concerned. So let us address it today.

What we found surprised us. Betting on home teams in their first home game back from a road trip that consisted of 3 or 4 consecutive road series were actually money. Over the past 7 full seasons, only 1 has been a losing season. To date in 2006, this angle has gone [22-16 +4.3 units]. I guess baseball players cannot wait to get home.

From previous knowledge of baseball betting systems, we know that teams can struggle against non-division rivals if they are coming off games versus division rivals. This is true because intensity in division rivalry games are so high that once you face a non-division rival, you let your guard up. In this siutation it is true. If we exclude this situation, we end up with something more profitable. A combined [308-222, +36 units] dating back to 1999.

Home favorites against division rivals is baseball betting cryptonite and we will exclude those from our analysis. Again, our system improves to [202-149, +41 units] dating back to 1999. With an 11 point average error on the spread.

If you are looking to really have this system pop, just take the home teams if they are an underdog as it is [83-71, +35 units] with a 23 point error in the spread. Meaning a +133 dog should really be +113.

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